The World Bank forecasts that the global economy will grow by 2.7% in both the current year and the following year, maintaining the same trend observed in 2024. This takes place in a context of gradually declining inflation and interest rates worldwide. Similarly, growth in developing economies is expected to remain stable, with an approximate rate of 4% over the next two years.
Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) anticipates that global economic growth will hold steady at 3.3% over the next two years, an encouraging figure, though still below the historical average observed between 2000 and 2019.
Global inflation is projected to decline to 4.2% in 2025 and 3.5% in 2026, enabling more stable monetary policy from central banks. Against this backdrop, the global economy is expected to remain steady, with a positive outlook for the coming years.
The Mexican economy posted 1% growth in February 2025, in contrast to the contraction recorded in January of the same year. This increase represents the strongest advance since April 2023, according to the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE), published by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
According to an analysis by Banamex, the month-on-month decline in the IGAE in January 2025 compared to December 2024 was primarily due to a slight contraction in industrial production. In contrast, primary activities grew by 3.1%, while the services sector remained stable.
In the first half of March, the National Consumer Price Index (INPC) recorded an increase, bringing the annual national inflation rate to 3.67%. This reflects a continued slowdown in inflation, remaining within the target range set by the Bank of Mexico (Banxico).
The Federal Mortgage Society (SHF) released its housing market summary for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting that the value of homes acquired through mortgage loans increased by 8.2%.
Despite a 10.3% increase in the value of affordable entry-level homes, 25% of transactions carried out through mortgage loans corresponded to homes priced at or below MXN 767 thousand, while 50% were conducted below MXN 1,197,273.
According to data from the Federal Mortgage Society, although Quintana Roo ranked second nationwide in housing price increases, rising 12.2% in the first quarter of the year, the state continues to show sustained growth, high housing demand, and significant appreciation in property values.
By the end of 2024, the potential demand for INFONAVIT, measured by the number of eligible beneficiaries, reached 167,156 in the state of Quintana Roo and 894,969 in the state of Jalisco, reaffirming the trend of high housing demand.